Firmus scrambles to save Australia's second-biggest share float as investors balk. The ASX falls 0.8%
The AI data-centre company has reportedly cut its price from $11 to $8.25 as the book closes early, and some reports say the float could be pulled. The sharemarket lost 66.8 points as oil jumped on Iran tensions.
Firmus, the Nvidia-backed AI data-centre company, spent Thursday trying to rescue what would be the second-largest share float in Australian history behind Telstra's in 1997. The ABC reported that the nation's second-largest ASX float was in doubt as investors got cold feet, and that the company was trying to save the offer as interest underwhelmed. The Australian Financial Review said the banking syndicate began price talks on Wednesday after overseas demand came in weaker than expected, and that the bankers were trying to shrink an offer first reported at $7.9 billion. The Sydney Morning Herald wrote that investors did not buy the hype, and the Guardian said the high-flying valuation may be coming back down to earth.
The numbers are moving, and the reports differ. Reuters had earlier reported an $11 price and a raise near $7.1 billion, valuing Firmus at about $44 billion. By Thursday several outlets, including the New Zealand Herald, reported that the price had been cut to $8.25 and that the book had closed a day early, which would cut the valuation by roughly 30 per cent to about $30 billion. The New Zealand Herald said the float could be pulled altogether. We saw no announcement of a withdrawal or a revised timetable by evening, and the ABC noted the company did not appear on the exchange's list of upcoming floats. We therefore treat the revised price as reported, not confirmed.
The AFR kept up a stream of reports under headlines that included a hedge fund finding 30 red flags, the company pulling down its deal documents, bankers' emails that raise serious questions, and a 36-hour spiral of doom. The paper also reported that Maas Group, which has about $1.2 billion of AI contracts linked to the float, was exposed, and its shares fell. Investors were said to be worried that about half the book was going to existing holders, that more than half the stock would be freely tradable at listing, and that 42.4 per cent of the register would sit in escrow.
The wider market was weak for other reasons. The S&P/ASX 200 closed down 66.8 points, or 0.77 per cent, at 8,660.9, according to ABC and Bloomberg, with miners hit as oil rose. Brent crude was up about 2 per cent near $102 a barrel on worries about supply as attacks on shipping in the Gulf and the Strait of Hormuz increased. The index is more than 6 per cent below its early-August peak. Lovisa and Weebit Nano were among the worst performers, down 8.7 and 11.0 per cent.
Bond markets added to the nerves. The AFR reported that France had set the bond market on fire again, warned that artificial-intelligence debt raisings increase the risk, and said a sudden wobble in AI debt had arrived at the wrong time for Firmus. A company that needs cheap capital to build data centres is sensitive to exactly that.