Sensex jumps 473 points and Nifty ends at 22,556, snapping a losing run. The RBI decides on Wednesday
Softer crude and a weak US jobs report eased fears of faster Fed hikes. ITC rose nearly 5 per cent on a Citi upgrade. The rupee barely moved, and foreign investors kept selling.
Indian equities bounced on Monday after four straight sessions of losses. The BSE Sensex gained 472.77 points, or 0.66 per cent, to close at 72,382.47, against 71,909.70 on the previous close. The NSE Nifty 50 rose 133.80 points, or 0.60 per cent, to end at 22,555.75. Over the four losing sessions the Sensex had slipped about 2.7 per cent and the Nifty about 3.1 per cent, according to one market wrap. Outlets cited easing crude prices, buying across sectors and a weaker US jobs report that reduced bets on a faster pace of rate hikes by the US Federal Reserve. One outlet described the losing run as eight days long; most counted four sessions, and we have used four.
ITC was the standout. The stock rose nearly 5 per cent after Citi moved it to Buy from Sell and lifted its target price to Rs 300, arguing that the cycle of earnings downgrades after the steep cigarette tax increase is largely over. Outlets differ on the earlier target (Rs 270 or Rs 280). The rupee ended almost flat at 96.30 to the dollar, five paise weaker by PTI's provisional count, with the Reserve Bank of India believed to be smoothing moves. Selling by foreign portfolio investors continued, and falling forex reserves show the RBI's cost of defending the rupee. All eyes now turn to the Monetary Policy Committee, which announces its decision at 10 a.m. on Wednesday. In a Reuters poll of 61 economists taken in late September, 35 expected a 25-basis-point increase in the repo rate to 5.50 per cent, which would be the first rise since February 2023.