Mexico caught between two hurricanes. Simón threatens the Pacific and Isaías sends oil surging; the dollar is back at 18 pesos
Simón could become a powerful hurricane before making landfall in the west. Isaías is moving through the Gulf toward the United States and, with the war in the Middle East, is pushing crude higher and hitting the peso.
The country woke up to two active cyclones. In the Pacific, Tropical Storm Simón was moving off Michoacán and Jalisco; El Financiero reported forecasts according to which it could become a Category 4 hurricane before making landfall in two states, and El Economista anticipated torrential rain in that region. Jalisco launched an operation with about 200 Civil Protection personnel on the coast and Sinaloa set up seven temporary shelters (El Universal). Michoacán issued heavy-rain alerts and was considering suspending classes, El Financiero reported. In the Gulf, Isaías strengthened into a hurricane and, according to Milenio, was heading for the United States as a Category 2, with very heavy rain for the southeast and the Yucatán Peninsula (El Economista, Milenio, Expansión). La Jornada warned of the displacement of people because of the cyclones.
Isaías’s passage was felt in the markets. The price of oil rose about 5% on the combination of the hurricane, which threatens production in the US Gulf, the war in the Middle East and low reserves, Expansión reported; Wall Street opened with losses on the jump in crude (El Financiero). The dollar returned to the zone of 18.15 to 18.20 pesos, according to Expansión and El Financiero, and ended the session near 18.18, against 17.98 on Wednesday; El Economista attributed part of the move to local inflation data. The stock market, by contrast, held up: the S&P/BMV IPC rose 0.52% to 64,986.91 points, supported from the morning by FEMSA shares (El Economista). In New York, the S&P 500 closed down 0.47%. There was one piece of good energy news: a Kinder Morgan subsidiary resolved the force majeure situation on the pipeline between Texas and Mexico, El Economista reported, a day after the United States cut about 20% of its natural gas shipments to the country.
The climate context explains the intensity. This year the season is running long: El Universal cited warnings about the “Super El Niño” phenomenon, which will leave aftereffects beyond the rain, with droughts and more severe storms. La Jornada reported on farmers in Guerrero who lost corn harvests for lack of rain, while other regions flood. For households, the immediate risk is flooding and road closures on the Pacific coast; for the economy, pricier oil and a weaker peso, just when imported gas is scarce. In the afternoon, Isaías intensified to Category 2 in the Gulf (El Financiero, Milenio) and Simón forced three Pacific ports to close, El Financiero reported. At the close of this edition, Simón had still not made landfall.