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, FRI., OCT. 9, 2026No. 5 · Morning, 6:00 a.m. CST6 a.m. CST
S&P/BMV IPC64,986.91▲0.52%10/8USD/MXN18.16▲0.02%10/9S&P 5007,765.36▼0.47%10/8WTI$91.50▲3.60%10/8Gold$4,157.00▲0.20%10/8
Weather · Civil ProtectionPress ✓ 7 outlets · forecasts attributed to the SMN, the Navy Secretariat (Semar) and each outlet

Simón becomes a hurricane off Colima and Jalisco and could reach Category 4 this weekend; Isaías moves away from Yucatán

The forecast for intensity and landfall has shifted from one bulletin to the next. A hurricane watch zone is in place from Manzanillo to Punta Mita, and the SMN anticipates a second impact on Monday between Nayarit and Sinaloa.

Simón became a Category 1 hurricane on Thursday night, off the Pacific coast. According to the 21:00 bulletin of the National Meteorological Service (SMN), picked up by La Razón and Infobae, the center was about 380 kilometers south of Manzanillo, Colima, with maximum sustained winds of 120 km/h, gusts of 150 km/h and a northwestward movement of 9 km/h. The SMN set a hurricane watch zone from Manzanillo to Punta Mita, Nayarit, and another for tropical storm from Punta San Telmo, Michoacán, to Manzanillo. El Financiero and El Economista reported torrential rain in Guerrero and Michoacán, and El Universal showed flooding and landslides in Acapulco from the rains of the tropical storm phase. El Financiero added that three Pacific ports restricted navigation, and that the storm threatened high waves on the coasts of Guerrero and Michoacán.

The uncertainty lies in the strength and the place of landfall. El Financiero cited the National Water Commission (Conagua), which anticipated rapid intensification to Category 4 in the next few hours; on the scale, that implies sustained winds of about 210 km/h or more, nearly double the current ones. The Navy Secretariat (Semar) estimates that Simón could reach Category 4 on Saturday, according to CNN en Español, and El Financiero and a column in El Economista circulated forecasts of an impact as a major hurricane in Colima and Jalisco. A report from Reforma, picked up by the press, placed it near Careyes, Jalisco, on Sunday morning, with data from October 8. The SMN, by contrast, forecasts a second impact as a Category 1 on Monday the 12th between Nayarit and Sinaloa (CNN en Español). Because the projections moved between bulletins, the track, the timing and the intensity at landfall are not confirmed, and differences between agencies are normal while the cyclone is still organizing. The same El Economista column added that Tropical Storm Rachel could make landfall on Sunday in Baja California; that is a forecast from a single outlet.

In the Gulf, Isaías became a Category 2 hurricane on Thursday afternoon on the Saffir-Simpson scale, according to El Financiero and El Economista. A report from Azteca Yucatán placed it in the early morning 506 kilometers from Mérida, moving away from the peninsula, while Reuters reported that the US Gulf Coast is bracing for its arrival. El Economista noted that the cyclone disrupted oil extraction in the Gulf and forced platforms to close. For anyone living on the Pacific coast, what is useful today is simple: check the bulletins from the SMN and Civil Protection, keep documents, water and batteries at hand, and locate the nearest temporary shelter. Anyone planning a road trip to the coast of Michoacán, Colima or Jalisco this weekend should consider postponing it. For the economy, the combination of storms and war in the Middle East is keeping crude expensive, something that counts in the markets section.

Unfold the story and DailyDrop’s take
By the numbers
120 km/hmaximum sustained winds of Simón in Thursday’s 21:00 bulletin (SMN)
4category it could reach on Saturday, according to the Navy Secretariat cited by CNN en Español
3Pacific ports with navigation restrictions (El Financiero)
SecurityPress ✓ 5 outlets · figures attributed to García Harfuch

Harfuch confirms 33 arrests for the murder of Carlos Manzo and says huachicol fiscal is not limited to naval personnel

Security Secretary Omar García Harfuch appeared behind closed doors before the Political Coordination Board of the Chamber of Deputies. He said 33 people have been arrested for the murder of Uruapan Mayor Carlos Manzo, among them an alleged leader of the cell that surveilled him and people close to the mayor who allegedly leaked information, El Financiero, La Razón and Quadratín reported. La Razón noted that those detained include Ramón Álvarez Ayala, “El R1,” described as a lieutenant of the CJNG and the alleged mastermind. On Mayor Grecia Quiroz’s request that the federal Attorney General’s Office (FGR) take over the case, Harfuch replied that it is that institution’s decision and that the mayor has federal protection. On huachicol fiscal, he said the network does not reach only naval personnel: there are also businesspeople and other criminals, and it was the Navy itself that reported it (Milenio, El Economista). On the 10 million liters seized, El Financiero reported that they are in the custody of the FGR. After Senator Manuel Velasco’s comments about a possible presidential candidacy, deputies sang “Amorcito corazón” to him (El Financiero). The case goes back to November 2025, when Manzo was murdered (La Razón). MVS Noticias reported that, according to Harfuch, all lines of investigation were covered, and Diario de México that he ruled out presidential aspirations for 2030. The figures are those given by the official; they were not verified by an independent source.

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Word of the day
huachicol fiscalsecurity

Fuel smuggling that evades taxes by importing the fuel with false documents or declaring it as another product.

MarketsPress ✓ 5 outlets · closing figures from DailyDrop

The IPC rises 0.52%, the peso stays above 18 per dollar and Wall Street falls on chips as crude surges

The S&P/BMV IPC gained 0.52% on Thursday and closed at 64,986.91 points. The peso ended the session above 18 pesos per dollar, between 18.19 and 18.20 according to Milenio and El Financiero, and at 00:46 today it was quoted at 18.16, a change of 0.02%. In New York, the S&P 500 fell 0.47%, to 7,765.36 points, and the Nasdaq lost 1.25%, to 27,193.34, on doubts about artificial intelligence spending and high yields, according to Reuters and El Economista; the Dow Jones rose 0.10%, to 51,231.64. The yield on the 10-year Treasury bond closed at 5.231%, down 4.6 basis points, after a 30-year bond auction with solid demand (Reuters).

WTI rose about 3.6% and closed around $91.5, a gain that El Economista rounded to 4%. It was driven by the explosions and the Houthi attack claimed against Riyadh’s airport (AP, Reuters) and the platform closures caused by Isaías in the Gulf (El Economista). In the early morning crude pulled back after Donald Trump said he will not attack Iran before the elections (Reuters). Alberto Musalem, president of the St. Louis Fed, said tighter monetary policy is needed (El Economista).

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Politics · Relations with the USPress ✓ 4 outlets · statements are attributed to each official

Sheinbaum receives Ambassador Johnson, and the US drug chief says “it doesn’t matter if it’s the governor”

President Claudia Sheinbaum received US Ambassador Ronald Johnson at the National Palace, following the controversy over the diplomat’s involvement in a police training project in Querétaro, El Financiero reported. Infobae reported that trade relations with the United States were among the topics discussed. Neither outlet reported any concrete agreements.

Separately, the head of the US anti-drug agency, identified as Carter by El Economista, said the offensive against the cartels and their accomplices will continue for the two and a half years remaining in Trump’s term and possibly beyond; El Financiero quoted her words: “We don’t care if it’s the governor.” El Financiero recalled that Trump declared a group of Mexican cartels terrorist organizations, a strategy Sheinbaum criticized. The statements are attributed to the official; the Mexican government had not responded to this last remark by press time.

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WorldPress ✓ 5 outlets · statements are attributed to each actor

Trump rules out attacking Iran before the elections but keeps the naval blockade; Rubio speaks of a “stalemate” in Ukraine

Donald Trump said the United States will not attack Iran before the midterm elections on November 3, that there are “productive conversations” with Tehran and that he will maintain the naval blockade on Iranian exports, El Financiero, El Economista and Reuters reported. Washington imposed new sanctions on Iran’s “shadow” fleet, and Reuters warned that the risk to tankers is growing because Iran threatens to block more routes in the Strait of Hormuz. The Houthis said they had attacked Riyadh’s airport again; Lufthansa and Indian airlines suspended flights to the Saudi capital (Reuters, AP).

On Ukraine, Secretary of State Marco Rubio called the war a “dangerous stalemate” and the Kremlin said it agreed (Reuters); Volodymyr Zelensky rejected the claim and denied a diplomatic stalemate (El Economista). Reuters reported that Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner will meet with Ukrainians, according to a US source, and that Kyiv’s negotiators are traveling to the US this Friday, according to Zelensky.

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In brief
  • Nissan joins nine other brands that import cars from China to supply Mexico, according to Expansión.Expansión
  • Taiwan rises to third place as a trade partner of Mexico thanks to the AI sector; bilateral trade was $48.2 billion in 2025.El Economista
  • American Express is fined $350 million for failures in its anti-money-laundering program.Reuters · Financial Times
  • Nvidia-backed Australian data center operator Firmus withdraws its initial public offering.Reuters · Bloomberg · The Guardian
  • Russia lifts health measures in Irkutsk after tests found no pathogens.Bloomberg
  • The Cleveland Guardians come back against the White Sox, and there will be a Game 5 in the Division Series.El Universal
  • The afores manage 9.02 trillion pesos, 15.89% more than a year ago, but are reducing their investment in Mexican stocks.El Economista
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Unverified — what we could not confirm

“Simón will make landfall as a Category 4 this weekend in Jalisco.” This is a forecast, not a fact: the Navy Secretariat speaks of Saturday, a Reforma report of Sunday, and the SMN forecasts a second impact on Monday. Check the latest bulletin.
“The brawl in the Mazatlán prison left 10 dead.” El Economista reported at least 10 dead and 16 injured; El Financiero, at least 6 dead. There is no confirmed official toll.
“The US cut gas to Mexico over a political decision.” Expansión reported that the Mexican agency said it was not a US public policy decision; there was scheduled maintenance and a force majeure that has since been resolved.

Influencer watch

  • Donald Trump declaraciones · 10/8Trump said the U.S. will not attack Iran before the November midterms and will keep the naval blockade, per El Financiero.
  • Claudia Sheinbaum declaración pública · 10/8Sheinbaum announced that Nestlé will double its investment in Mexico to $2 billion, per La Jornada.
  • Omar García Harfuch comparecencia ante diputados · 10/8García Harfuch told lawmakers that 33 people are detained over the killing of Carlos Manzo, per El Financiero.

Statements as posted, not fact-checked.

Glossary · dotted words — economics, law, security and science terms explained in the context of the story. The list grows every day.
INSIDESimón becomes a hurricane off Colima and Jalisco and could reach Category 4 this weekend; Isaías moves away from YucatánWeather · Civil ProtectionHarfuch confirms 33 arrests for the murder of Carlos Manzo and says huachicol fiscal is not limited to naval personnelSecurityThe IPC rises 0.52%, the peso stays above 18 per dollar and Wall Street falls on chips as crude surgesMarketsSheinbaum receives Ambassador Johnson, and the US drug chief says “it doesn’t matter if it’s the governor”Politics · Relations with the USTrump rules out attacking Iran before the elections but keeps the naval blockade; Rubio speaks of a “stalemate” in UkraineWorld