Brent crude tops $105 on Houthi missile and Hormuz attacks. New York falls even as Trump says "no strike on Iran before the election"
Airlines suspended routes after the claimed strike on Riyadh's airport. Korean stocks are closed today for Hangeul Day, so last night's shock will land all at once when trading opens Monday the 12th
Oil jumped again overnight. Brent crude from the North Sea topped $105 a barrel on Oct. 8 local time (Bloomberg), and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) rose more than 3% to the $91 range. Flashpoints flared across the Gulf at once. Yemen's Houthi rebels claimed they attacked King Khalid International Airport in the Saudi capital, Riyadh, with ballistic missiles. The Saudi-led coalition said it intercepted two missiles, but smoke was seen rising from the airport, and Lufthansa and Indian airlines suspended Riyadh routes (Reuters, AP). Some Korean travelers were stranded at Saudi airports. Reports said Iranian attacks on tankers in the Strait of Hormuz had picked up again after a gap of several months (The Washington Post). Reports also said the Pentagon had ordered Central Command to prepare to resume large-scale operations against Iran. President Trump wrote on social media that he would "under no circumstances" attack Iran before the Nov. 3 midterm elections. He said he was having "productive discussions" with Iran, but that the naval blockade would stay in place.
On Wall Street, all three major indexes fell on oil and interest-rate worries. The S&P 500 dropped 0.61% and the tech-heavy Nasdaq 1.37%. AI-linked stocks such as Nvidia and Oracle weakened after reports that OpenAI had told investors its annualized revenue was about $50 billion (CNBC). The 10-year Treasury yield stayed in the 5.2% range. Asian countries are rushing to stockpile crude (Reuters). The worry that higher oil lifts prices, and that the Federal Reserve could then raise rates further, shook stocks and bonds together. Korea's market is on a trading holiday today. The KOSPI closed yesterday at 6,625.93, down 2.62%, despite Samsung Electronics' record earnings. Last night's oil moves and the New York decline will be priced in when trading opens on the next trading day, Monday the 12th. Korea imports almost all of its oil, so higher prices spill into the exchange rate, consumer prices and corporate costs all at once. The things to watch over the weekend are whether Trump's pledge to hold off on an attack actually calms tensions, and whether the Houthis and Hormuz keep pushing oil higher.